Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.002509 0.002669 0.002841 0.003040 0.003266 0.003516 0.003816
2025-01-12 0.002205 0.002413 0.002649 0.002938 0.003291 0.003713 0.004270
2025-01-19 0.002042 0.002281 0.002564 0.002928 0.003397 0.004000 0.004872
2025-01-26 0.001839 0.002079 0.002367 0.002749 0.003258 0.003942 0.004991
2025-02-02 0.001764 0.002020 0.002336 0.002770 0.003373 0.004230 0.005659
2025-02-09 0.001725 0.002002 0.002352 0.002848 0.003570 0.004665 0.006676
2025-02-16 0.001667 0.001953 0.002323 0.002859 0.003669 0.004964 0.007559
2025-02-23 0.001646 0.001950 0.002352 0.002953 0.003903 0.005526 0.009205
2025-03-02 0.001583 0.001887 0.002293 0.002913 0.003916 0.005702 0.010088
2025-03-09 0.001517 0.001816 0.002219 0.002841 0.003868 0.005753 0.010690
2025-03-16 0.001495 0.001804 0.002227 0.002895 0.004038 0.006266 0.012948
2025-03-23 0.001471 0.001787 0.002227 0.002936 0.004189 0.006782 0.015801
2025-03-30 0.001419 0.001732 0.002171 0.002888 0.004184 0.006979 0.017873
2025-04-06 0.001360 0.001663 0.002092 0.002799 0.004095 0.006961 0.019047
2025-04-13 0.001325 0.001629 0.002063 0.002790 0.004159 0.007349 0.023335
2025-04-20 0.001253 0.001539 0.001947 0.002626 0.003899 0.006830 0.020943
2025-04-27 0.001232 0.001521 0.001938 0.002646 0.004009 0.007339 0.027353
2025-05-04 0.001225 0.001524 0.001960 0.002718 0.004238 0.008287 0.045274
2025-05-11 0.001204 0.001504 0.001947 0.002728 0.004338 0.008891 0.071913
2025-05-18 0.001202 0.001511 0.001976 0.002814 0.004622 0.010316 0.378054
2025-05-25 0.001173 0.001478 0.001939 0.002777 0.004612 0.010616 6.942286
2025-06-01 0.001139 0.001438 0.001888 0.002712 0.004525 0.010563 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001131 0.001434 0.001898 0.002761 0.004730 0.011950 NaN